FUND FULCRUM
January 2019
Mutual
funds have added a whopping Rs 3 lakh crore to their asset base in 2018 and the
uptrend may continue in 2019, helped by consistent rise in the SIP flows and a
strong participation of retail investors despite volatile markets. The asset
under management (AUM) of the industry rose by 13% to Rs 24 lakh crore in 2018
by November-end itself, up from Rs 21.26 lakh crore at the end of December
2017, according to data available with AMFI. The investor count is also
estimated to have grown by over 1.3 crore during 2018. The pace of growth,
however, declined for the asset size in 2018 as compared to 2017. The industry
had seen a surge of 32% in the AUM or an addition of over Rs 5.4 lakh crore in
2017. The AUM in December 2018 fell 4.9% to Rs 22.86 lakh crore over November
2018. The IL&FS default and the consequent blow to the NBFC sector because
of the credit crunch exposed mutual funds to several crores worth of ill-liquid
debt funds. This coupled with volatile markets could be some of the reasons for
a slower growth in assets base in 2018. Going into 2019, the fund houses expect
the industry to witness robust growth as the sector is yet to tap its full
potential. Besides, several measures taken by the regulator SEBI will help in
increasing the penetration of mutual funds. The factors that will drive the
growth in 2019 include the untapped potential, rising investor awareness about
mutual funds as an investment alternative and a spirited promotion campaign by AMFI.
Equity
fund folio addition has boosted the domestic mutual fund industry, helping it
register over 5.7 lakh more investor accounts in December 2018, according to
the data of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Total investor
accounts stand at 8.03 crore in December 2018. In comparison, the 43-player
industry had added 7.05 lakh folios in November 2018 and 11.5 lakh folios in
October 2018. Equity folios halved from 10.6 lakh folios in October 2018 to
4.91 lakh folios in December 2018. Equity funds include pure equity, ELSS and
balanced funds. Fund managers attributed the addition in equity fund folios to
the matured behaviour of retail investors who were seeing the market fall as an
opportunity to invest their surplus money. Folios in equity ETF rose 3.75%,
gilt funds (3.41%) and liquid funds (2.58%) grew at the fastest pace during the
review period. Interestingly, income funds reported a marginal increase in
their folio counts, against the decline observed in the last few months. Income
funds reported net outflow during the month, with macroeconomic variables
turning favourable. With no further expectation of a rate hike in the near
term, the increase in investor folios suggests they may be slowly returning to
this category.
HDFC Mutual Fund
reclaimed its position as the country’s top asset manager by assets after a gap
of nearly three years. In the last quarter ending September 2018, HDFC Mutual Fund
had stood at the second spot behind ICICI Mutual Fund with quarterly average
assets of Rs. 3.06 lakh crore. While ICICI AMC saw net outflows to the tune of
Rs. 2,522 crore during the quarter ending December 2018, HDFC Mutual Fund
recorded inflows of Rs. 28,604 crore propelling it to the top position. Most
fund houses saw a decline in their AUM in the quarter ending December 2018.
Overall, the industry AUM fell by 3% last quarter. The industry AUM had touched
an all-time high of Rs. 25.20 lakh crore in August 2018. However, post
September 2018, macroeconomic concerns and NBFC credit event led to outflows
from debt funds. Subsequently, mutual fund AUM for the quarter ending in December
2018 fell from the September 2018 quarter level. Among the top 10 mutual funds,
only HDFC Mutual Fund, SBI and Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund recorded an increase
in their assets while the remaining fund houses saw a decline in their AUM. On
gross basis, HDFC Mutual Fund saw the highest increase in its AUM (Rs. 28,604
crore) while DSP Mutual Fund saw the highest fall (Rs. 16,212 crore). In
percentage terms, Shriram Mutual Fund (87%), PPFAS Mutual Fund (14%) and HDFC Mutual
Fund (9%) were the fastest growing fund houses during the quarter while DHFL
Pramerica Mutual Fund (53%), Indiabulls Mutual Fund (53%) and LIC Mutual Fund
(35%) saw the sharpest decline in their assets.
The top five
fund houses account for 71% of the industry’s profit, according to HD ‘Asset
Management Companies’ report. PAT (profit after tax) denotes the fund house
profit. Overall, the mutual fund industry has witnessed a 26% (CAGR) growth in
its assets from Rs. 8.25 lakh crore in FY 14 to Rs.24.03 lakh crore in November
2018. In line with the growth in AUM, the PAT of the industry grew 28%
during FY 14 to FY 18. A key reason for the growth in profitability is the
rising share of equity assets in the industry. The share of equity vis-à-vis
the total industry AUM has grown continuously since 2014. Over the last four
years, the equity AUM grew at 36% CAGR to reach Rs.9.20 lakh crore. As of
November 2018, 40% of the industry assets were in equities compared to 25%
in FY2014. According to the report, fund houses having higher equity assets
tend to deliver higher returns on assets represented by PAT as a percentage of
AUM.
Over the last
two years, SIP has been a driver of steady inflows in the industry. In fact,
the latest AMFI data shows the industry’s SIP collection for the FY year
2018-19 (Rs. 68,479 crore) has already surpassed the total collection in
FY17-18 (Rs. 67,190 crore). Assuming the monthly SIP inflows continue at the
current level (Rs. 8,022 crore) for the next three months, the industry will
receive Rs. 92,545 crore as SIP inflows in FY 18-19. This will be a 38%
increase over the previous year’s collection. SIP flows grew by 53% in FY17-18.
While we may see some uptick in SIP inflows near the end of the year, the
momentum in SIP seems to have slowed. As per recent AMFI data, on a net basis
SIP flows grew by Rs. 37 crore to reach an all-time high of Rs. 8,022 crore
last month. The industry also added 2 lakh SIP accounts on a net basis in
December taking the total to 2.54 crore SIP folios. On an average, the industry
has added 9.46 lakh SIP accounts each month in FY 18-19.
Piquant Parade
IDFC has shelved plans to sell the asset
management company. After spending months searching for a buyer, IDFC
Financial Holding Company - a part of IDFC - has decided to retain its fund
management business. The board of the group company felt that it makes sense to
hold the fund house and grow it over time rather than sell it. IDFC has now
decided to focus on making its underlying businesses more retail-focused. The
fund house failed to elicit the kind of valuation it sought. While the fund
house expected around Rs 5,000 crore, it got bids in the range of Rs 3,500 –
4,000 crore. Avendus Capital, Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management, IndusInd
Bank, BlackRock Inc. were among the firms that expressed interest in buying. Of
the above bidders, its talks with Avendus were in the final stages. However,
the deal did not go through.
LIC Mutual Fund is likely to acquire IDBI
Mutual Fund. This has come after LIC has bought 238 crore equity shares of
IDBI bank amounting close to Rs.14,500 crore. Earlier in October 2018, Life
Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) made an open offer to acquire 26% stake in
IDBI Bank. The acquisition might take some time due to regulatory approvals. As
per December 2018 quarterly AUM, LIC MF manages Rs.13,378 crore and IDBI MF
Rs.8599 crore. If the deal goes through, the AUM of the combined entity would
be close to Rs.22,000 crore. Currently, by AUM size, LIC MF ranks nineteenth
and IDBI twenty-fifth. The combined entity would overtake Mirae Asset and
Motilal Oswal to reach sixteenth position. This acquisition would allow LIC MF
to leverage IDBI’s branch network and target clients in B30 locations.
HDFC Securities in a recent report observed that amongst the
bank backed fund houses Axis MF (47.6%) has highest reliance on its associate
bank followed by SBI MF (35.2%). Meanwhile,
Kotak MF (8.8%) has the least dependence on its associate bank amongst the top
nine fund houses. In absolute terms, SBI brought inflows of close to Rs. 90,000
crore for SBI MF. In the second place comes ICICI MF where ICICI Bank contributed
around Rs. 56,000 crore in AUM. What this means is that bank sponsors continue
to drive substantial inflows for their associate fund houses. This is not
surprising because with their large branch network banks can reach a wider
retail consumer base. Consequently, mutual funds with associate banks tend to
fetch higher premium in mutual fund space. Moreover, in the last few years,
third party cross-selling that is selling other financial products like
insurance and mutual funds has become a lucrative income stream for banks. In
terms of inflows from non-associate AUM, UTI MF (90.6%) ranks at the top spot
followed by Franklin MF (81.5%) as these fund houses do not have any bank
promoter.
Regulatory Rigmarole
Keeping in mind the growing instances of
cybercrimes globally, SEBI has asked fund houses to put in place robust cyber
security and cyber resilience framework to deal with such cyber threats and
data breach. In a circular, SEBI said, “With rapid technological
advancement in securities market, there is greater need for maintaining robust
cyber security and to have a cyber-resilience framework to protect integrity of
data and guard against breaches of privacy.” Here are some key highlights of
the circular
·
AMCs
will have to appoint Chief Information and Security Officer (CISO) who will
assess, identify and reduce cyber security risks, respond to such incidents and
establish appropriate controls
·
AMCs
board will have to constitute technology committee comprising experts in
technology. This committee will review existing framework of the AMCs and
instances of cyber security on a quarterly basis
·
MFs
will have to identify their critical assets, which are prone to such risks
·
MFs
will have to encourage third party providers, RTAs, custodians, brokers and
distributors to have similar standards of information security
·
MF
officials of any rank do not have right to access confidential data. Any access
to AMCs should be for a defined purpose or defined period
·
MFs
will have to implement strong password for users’ access to systems, apps and
networks. AMCs will have to provide two-factor authentication at log in.
·
MFs
will have to deploy additional controls and security measures to supervise
staff
·
Employees
and outsourced staff who have access to such systems will be subject to
stringent supervision and access restriction
·
Alerts
should be generated in an event of detection of unauthorized system activity
·
MFs
have to impart trainings to employees and outsourced staff to increase
awareness
The circular
will come into effect from April 1, 2019.
SEBI has asked fund houses to reduce
portfolio concentration risks in index funds and ETFs. Here are some key
highlights of the circular
·
ETFs/
index funds can only mimic an index having a minimum of 10 stocks as its
constituents
·
No
single stock shall have more than 35% in the index. For sectoral or thematic
indices, such a weightage cannot be more than 25%.
·
The
weightage of top three constituents of the index should not exceed 65% of the
index
·
The
individual constituent should be frequently traded i.e. with frequency of at
least 80%
The circular
will be come into effect from April 10, 2019.
SEBI has opened up covered calls to the
mutual fund industry. Covered calls are a complex strategy in which a fund
manager can write a call option contract if he has neutral view on a particular
stock. Unlike derivative strategies where volatility has a key role to play,
covered calls work well in flat market conditions. Through this, the scheme can
generate money to the extent of premium paid by traders. In the circular issued,
SEBI said that equity fund managers could write call options only under a
covered call strategy for stocks traded on Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex. However,
the total notional value of such call options should not exceed 15% of the
total market value of equity shares held in that scheme. The total number of
shares underlying the call option should not exceed 30% of the unencumbered
shares in a scheme. SEBI further clarified that schemes cannot write call
option of a share if it is not underlying. Also, a call option can be written
only on shares which are not hedged using other derivative contracts. The fund
house will have to do mark to market valuation of NAV by factoring in
respective gains or loss into the daily NAV of the scheme. Earlier in August
2018, SEBI had constituted a sub-committee of the mutual fund advisory
committee (MFAC) to look at the pros and cons of introducing covered calls in
mutual funds. Such a strategy is well suited for long term players like mutual
funds. This would help investors generate marginal returns even during flat
market conditions.
In a letter issued to JM Financial, SEBI has clarified that
alternative investment funds can invest its unutilized funds in the units of
liquid funds. AIFs can also invest their
unutilized portion in bank deposits and liquid assets of higher quality such as
treasury bills, commercial papers and certificate of deposits. However, AIFs
will have to keep their unit holders informed about such exposures, said SEBI. In
the letter, SEBI said, “The provisions under regulations is provided in the
interest of investors with respect to un-invested portion of the investable
funds till deployment of these funds as per the investment objective.
Considering this, SEBI registered AIFs may invest investment income or proceeds
arising from sale/transfer of the investment or returns from the investment
(dividend or interest on securities) in liquid funds, bank deposits or other
liquid assets of higher quality. However, to ensure the transparency and
disclosure requirements as specified in AIF regulations, the AIFs shall
disclose information about the proposed transaction periodically to the
investors.” Earlier, JM Financial sought a clarification if JM Financial India
Fund II, a category II AIF can invest unutilized funds arising out of receipt
of proceeds from sale/transfer of investment or returns earned from investments
such as dividend or interest in liquid funds.
SEBI has revised reporting norms for mutual
funds. The new Monthly Cumulative Report (MCR) will capture details such as number
of folios in each scheme, gross inflows, net inflows/outflows, net AUM, Average
AUM and so on. AMCs will have to do such reporting at scheme level. The
revised MCR is in line with the categorisation and rationalisation of mutual
fund schemes that aims to eliminate duplication in offerings across schemes
within the fund house. The new report directs fund house to put one scheme in
each category. The new reporting norms will come into effect from April 1,
2019. AMCs will have to ensure that they share the report within three working
days of the month.
In a major relief to mutual fund distributors, the government
has deferred the implementation of reverse charge mechanism (RCM) till
September 30, 2019. The move will benefit mutual fund
distributors, who do not have a GST registration number and who have
surrendered their GST registration number. These distributors should have
earnings of less than Rs.20 lakh a year. For distributors with GST
registration, AMCs continue to follow forward charge mechanism, i.e., AMCs will
pay the gross commission to them. These distributors can avail of the benefits
of input credit. Earlier this month, the government introduced composition
schemes for services sector. Under the scheme, service providers earning up to
Rs.50 lakh could pay GST rate of 6% instead of 18% with effect from April 1,
2019. However, these service providers cannot avail input credits if they opt
for the composition scheme. Also, they will have to pay taxes quarterly but
file returns annually. Moreover, the composition scheme in the current form
does not allow service providers to avail benefits if they have interstate
services.
The year 2018
was an action-packed one for the Rs 23 lakh crore Indian mutual funds industry
as well as for investors in it. While the S&P BSE Sensex gained 6%
year-to-date, equity funds disappointed. Large-cap funds fell 4% on an average
in 2018, mid-cap funds were down 14% while small-cap funds were off a
steep 21%, as per Value Research. Funds got friendlier as costs were pushed
down and steps were taken to curb misselling. Fund categories - and all schemes
within - got standardised. This made it easier for investors to compare one
fund with another. The major piece of bad news, however, was the introduction
of long-term capital gains tax (LTCG) on equity funds in Budget 2018. How far the
provisions of Budget 2019 impacts the mutual fund industry remains to be seen.